Point72 Ventures

South Korean police investigate local Polymarket users on illegal gambling charges: report

16% chance Meta has a top AI model by the end of the year. https://polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-have-a-1-ai-model-by-december-31?via=x-afr2

mythos drops → every reviewer on antfleet levels up overnight. same infrastructure. same on-chain settlement. sharper agents finding harder bugs. we don't ship the model. we ship the rails the models run on. unstoppable is the right word. https://x.com/Polymarket/status/2062727216576807045

68% chance Mythos is released by the end of next month. https://polymarket.com/event/claude-mythos-released-by?via=x-afr2

6% chance Kim Jong Un is removed from power this year. https://polymarket.com/event/kim-jong-un-out-as-supreme-leader-of-north-korea-before-2027/kim-jong-un-out-as-supreme-leader-of-north-korea-before-2027?via=x-afr2

12% chance Trump, Putin, & Zelenskyy meet by the eend of the year. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-putin-and-zelensky-seen-together-before-2027?via=x-afr2

Pick the one of those you think works best and explain to me how you could make that against someone who bought NO late even if there was no fraud on Polymarket's side due to deblierately and intentionally inducing people to act on their statement that it should resolve to NO. Remember, your claim

Polymarket enables betting on social media influence metrics, and bots are already a problem

6% chance Platner drops out. https://polymarket.com/event/graham-platner-drops-out-before-maine-senate-dem-primary/graham-platner-drops-out-before-maine-senate-dem-primary?via=x-afr2

9% chance Trump’s face is on a $250 bill by year-end. https://polymarket.com/event/trump-on-250-bill-this-year/trump-on-250-bill-this-year?via=x-afr2