Polymarket é a maior plataforma de mercados de previsão do mundo, permitindo que usuários apostem em eventos futuros em tópicos como política, atualidades e muito mais. Ao agregar notícias, pesquisas e opiniões de especialistas, fornece probabilidades precisas e em tempo real, permitindo que traders informados lucrem com seu conhecimento.
Notícias
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Polymarket traders now assign a 62% chance that the Fed raises interest rates at some point in 2026. One historica… https://x.com/i/web/status/2079594144570454256
2024 年在 Polymarket 押中 JD Vance 的一笔交易，最近被美国监管机构翻出来了。 因为下注的人，可能提前从一名国会议员那里拿到了答案。 2024 年特朗普正式公布 JD Vance 为竞选搭档前，佛州共和党众议员 Anna Paulina Luna 据称在坦帕一家私人俱乐部吃饭时表示，她已经知道人选。 一名在场人士向《华尔街日报》透露，Luna 当时说，她已经提前把 Vance 即将获选的消息告诉了 MAGA 网红 D.C. Draino（本名 Rogan O’Handley），让他去 Polymarket 下注。 对方据称押中了。Luna 后来甚至笑他：怎么不多
Where do MOST refugees from Ukraine flee? Poland? Germany? UK? France? What’s your Polymarket bet — 5-6 MILLION Ukrainian citizens, flooded to this country. You won’t get the correct answer on Fox News or CNN, only on the Sanchez Effect.
polymarket上的perp交易量最高的尽然是hype代币的市场，不过24小时交易量也只有13M！ 目前所有市场24小时交易量加起来都没有超过100M，可谓是相当惨淡冷清的，看来跨界搞perp也不是那么简单的！
Full article https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2026-polymarket-traders-who-knew-the-future/ Get in touch with us if you also want to understand what's happening onchain in this new era of finance https://dune.com/enterprise
Regulators, traders and other observers of markets are trying to understand what prediction markets mean: When do we get new useful information? What is insider trading when you can trade on anything? Here's one interesting example from @business: "In early February, Caden Booth, a 21-year-old TikT
今天最大的热点，就是某条公链。 从「天王级项目」，一步步走向了「天亡」。 很多人会把原因归结于市场、代币、VC、解锁、运营…… 但我最近越来越觉得，真正的问题没有那么复杂。 一条公链最终能否走出来，不是看 TPS 有多高，也不是融资有多豪华，而是看它能不能承载真正的应用。 「这条公链，是否拥有真正不可替代的应用？」 是指Hyperliquid、Polymarket这类真应用。 对于绝大多数应用来说， 它们可以部署在任何一条成熟公链上， 他们成熟之后也都会走向自有链！ Crytpo世界真正稀缺的，从来不是公链， 而是真正能够持续创造价值、吸引用户、沉淀资金的应用。 而所有链上生态， 最
⚽️ 世界杯虽然结束了，但是预测市场的「情报战场」才刚开始：Cournot @CournotProtocol 战报复盘 一个月的世界杯，不光是预测市场，其实一场关于「信息基础设施」的实战演习 👉 复盘这次 Cournot 的世界杯 Signal 活动，我最大的感受是： 预测市场正在从「赌结果」进化成「信息交易」，而这中间缺的那一层基础设施，现在有人开始认真做了 1️⃣ 世界杯两个让人记忆深刻的名场面 一、C罗会不会在世界杯上哭? 这个 Polymarket 上的市场在葡萄牙被淘汰后，成了全网案例。 C罗情绪失控离场,画面所有人都看到了，但市场却陷入争论：按照结算标准,「可见的眼
Polymarket gives an 83.5% chance the next Claude Opus model releases by July 31. 9 days left. $125K total volume. The market is essentially saying Anthropic drops it this week. Anthropologic has been shipping on a relentless schedule. Claude Opus 4.8 was May 28. Opus 4.7 was April. They have never