However, one day later, they withdrew the same amount of BTC from Coinbase Prime. If they had sold even a small amount (or sold and rebought) this would satisfy the conditions of the market, and Surprised Legacy will make $200K.

Why did he bet so much on Strategy selling? Last Friday, Strategy deposited BTC to Coinbase Prime - it was the first time ever any of their tagged wallets had done this.

However, one day later, they withdrew the same amount of BTC from Coinbase Prime. If they had sold even a small amount (or sold and rebought) this would satisfy the conditions of the market, and Surprised Legacy will make $200K.