50% CORRECTION IS NOT HOW BITCOIN BEAR MARKETS END Every major cycle bottom formed after a far deeper flush 2015 → -87% before the bottom 2018 → -84% before the bottom 2022 → -78% before the bottom And somehow this cycle is supposed to end after a 50% pullback? I don't buy it Base case is still
@0xfinish·Jul 16, 2026·2 sources·negative
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The article argues that Bitcoin's current 50% correction is insufficient to mark a cycle bottom, predicting a further 60-65% flush before capitulation.
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50% CORRECTION IS NOT HOW BITCOIN BEAR MARKETS END Every major cycle bottom formed after a far deeper flush 2015 → -87% before the bottom 2018 → -84% before the bottom 2022 → -78% before the bottom And somehow this cycle is supposed to end after a 50% pullback? I don't buy it Base case is still
@0xfinish
Jul 16, 2026
5 of the 6 bottom signals I track says Bitcoin has already found its floor. The 6th one says we're not even close, and it's the one I care about the most. Here's what the data says: • MVRV Z-Score: around -1, back in the same zone that marked the bottoms in 2015, 2018, and 2022 • AVIV Z-Score: a
@thedefiedge
Jul 16, 2026

