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21% chance the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is effectively closed by the end of next month. https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by

@polymarket·Jul 20, 2026·2 sources·neutral
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Polymarket prediction market shows a 21% probability that the Bab el-Mandeb Strait will be effectively closed by the end of next month.

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21% chance the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is effectively closed by the end of next month. https://polymarket.com/event/bab-el-mandeb-strait-effectively-closed-by

@polymarket
Jul 20, 2026

32% chance of a ceasefire by the end of the month. https://poly.market/eY8xOJY

@polymarket
Jul 20, 2026