little over a month from the looks of volume majority of the DAUs are the same type of retail traders taking positions on the prediction markets my guess is though a lot of the same users experimenting with it increase their size as they get more comfortable w/ it and we see a bit more volatility
The article notes that most daily active users in prediction markets appear to be retail traders experimenting with increasing position sizes as they gain comfort.
Kalshi’s perps growth feels a lot like the early days of their prediction markets & Robinhood's rise to making stock trading popular for retail. The DAU curve is turning parabolic and already above Lighter / catching up to Hyperliquid. When you're on CT & see people use perps every day, it's easy
little over a month from the looks of volume majority of the DAUs are the same type of retail traders taking positions on the prediction markets my guess is though a lot of the same users experimenting with it increase their size as they get more comfortable w/ it and we see a bit more volatility
e.g. when you look at volumes, it's still early the majority of users feel like retail prediction market traders taking a stab at perps for the first time so imo they're not really competing for the same users as HYPE & LIT (yet) - they're creating an entirely new class of users over time though